• £7.14bn of UK Equity Income funds are invested in low dividend cover shares
• 30 funds hold five or more of the top 10 ‘at risk’ shares
• BP and Shell are the most widely held of the Dividend Dangerzone stocks
Laura Suter, personal finance analyst at investment platform AJ Bell, comments:
“Dividend cover is expected to fall to its lowest level in a decade* this year, meaning investors will understandably be jittery about what lies underneath their income funds’ portfolios. Ideally you’d want income stocks to have a dividend cover ratio at 2 times or above, meaning annual earnings are twice the level of dividends. This provides a safety buffer in case there is an unexpected downturn in trading, or in the UK or global economy.
“However, ten of the UK’s highest yielding stocks have cover of less than 1.5, meaning they are in the dangerzone for potential dividend cuts. Fund investors should be aware of what the income funds they own are investing in and assess their exposure to these stocks.
“The UBS UK Equity Income fund sits at the top of the list with over a quarter of the fund in the top 10 companies with dividend cover below 1.5 times.
“Of the 83 funds in the UK Equity Income sector with holdings data, 30 funds hold five or more of the top 10 list in their holdings, while five funds have seven or eight of them. Collectively the funds have £7.14bn of investor money in the shares with dividend cover of less than 1.5, equating to 14% of the total assets in the funds. Just five funds have none of the top 10 list in their holdings, one of which is a fund of funds, and the others focus more on mid-cap stocks.
“Oil giants BP and Shell are the most widely held of the stocks in the Dangerzone, with 63 of the funds holding each of the stocks. Both are hefty dividend payers, yielding just shy of 7% each, while they are also predicted to be in the top three dividend payers in cash terms. Meanwhile, just two funds have holdings in Russian miner Evraz.
“The presence of these companies in a portfolio is not a reason to avoid the fund, but investors just need to understand what they’re exposed to. Dividend cover of less than 1.5 does not necessarily mean the dividend will be cut and many managers aim to have a mixture of dividend payers in the portfolio. These include some high payers to provide income today, some that are likely to grow their payouts each year with inflation, and other stocks that will see a higher pace of growth and so might not pay much now but will be the dividend payers of the future.
“Most importantly, fund investors who own more than one income fund will also want to check on the overlap between the funds’ holdings, to ensure they are not overly exposed to any one stock, as any dividend cuts could deliver a heavier blow to their income levels.”
*Based on the Henderson International Income Trust Global Dividend Cover report.
The funds with the highest exposure to the Dividend Dangerzone
|
Fund |
Total fund exposure to Dividend Dangerzone |
Number of Dividend Dangerzone companies in holdings |
Fund Size(m) |
Size of exposure to Dividend Dangerzone |
|
UBS UK Equity Income |
26.3% |
5 |
£55.7 |
£14,654,670 |
|
JPM UK Equity Income |
25.2% |
8 |
£3.9 |
£981,240 |
|
Man GLG UK Income |
25.1% |
8 |
£1,245.6 |
£312,022,800 |
|
Ardevora UK Income |
24.2% |
5 |
£36.7 |
£2,258,150 |
|
Lazard Multicap UK Income |
21.9% |
5 |
£68.3 |
£14,930,380 |
|
ASI UK High Income Equity |
21.6% |
6 |
£468.4 |
£101,080,720 |
|
BNY Mellon Equity Income |
21.0% |
3 |
£175.0 |
£36,785,000 |
|
Kames UK Equity Income |
20.7% |
6 |
£51.0 |
£10,567,200 |
|
Liontrust Macro Equity Income |
19.9% |
6 |
£89.3 |
£17,797,490 |
|
M&G - M&G Dividend |
19.9% |
6 |
£1,132.9 |
£225,333,810 |
|
Source: AJ Bell. Data looks at the 83 funds in the UK Equity Income sector with full holdings information available on FE. |
||||
The Dividend Dangerzone
|
Highest yielding shares with dividend cover of less than 1.5 |
|||
|
|
|
Dividend yield (%) |
Dividend cover (x) |
|
1 |
Standard Life Aberdeen |
8.10% |
0.87 x |
|
2 |
Taylor Wimpey |
11.90% |
1.12 x |
|
3 |
Persimmon |
11.50% |
1.15 x |
|
4 |
Phoenix Group |
7.10% |
1.21 x |
|
5 |
Royal Dutch Shell |
6.60% |
1.23 x |
|
6 |
BP |
6.70% |
1.26 x |
|
7 |
Evraz |
15.30% |
1.34 x |
|
8 |
Imperial Brands |
11.10% |
1.34 x |
|
9 |
HSBC |
6.90% |
1.41 x |
|
10 |
Centrica |
7.20% |
1.43 x |
Source: AJ Bell. Lists the highest yielding FTSE 100 companies that have dividend
cover of 1.5 times or less.
