Supply issues and staff shortages provide the mood music ahead of tomorrow’s Bank of England meeting

Danni Hewson
23 June 2021

Danni Hewson, AJ Bell financial analyst, comments on today’s Flash PMI figures:

“The latest flash PMI figures set the tone ahead of tomorrow’s interest rate decision by the Bank of England.  Supply chains are still fraught, some materials are still hard to come by and delays are pushing some companies to try and buy ahead, at a premium.  All those cost pressures will work their way through and signal an uncomfortably bumpy period where inflation will continue on its upward trajectory.

“Add in staffing shortages being felt by industries like hospitality and you have a recipe which will require businesses to weigh up whether it’s better to slim down provision or scale up wages.  Of course, the end of the furlough scheme could solve that issue.  No one really knows how many of those still being cushioned will return to their substantive posts or be looking for new ones.

“Those sitting round the table at Threadneedle street will also consider the fact that though there is still massive growth, the pace of recovery has slowed a little.  Whether Freedom Day mark two makes any difference is a problem for another day. On this day expect the status quo, though the mood music might hint at what comes next.”

Danni Hewson
Head of Financial Analysis
Danni spent more than 19 years at the BBC, presenting and reporting on business news across a variety of programmes – including BBC Breakfast, BBC News Channel, BBC Look North and latterly Radio 5 Live’s flagship business programme ‘Wake up to Money’. She is now responsible for producing analysis and commentary across a broad range of subjects at AJ Bell, from financial markets, to economics and personal finance.

Contact details

Mobile: 07593 451 437

Email: danni.hewson@ajbell.co.uk

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