Lower inflation offers little respite for savers

20 March 2018
  • CPI fell to 2.7% in February, CPIH down to 2.5%

  • Housing, recreational activities, transport, food and clothes continue to inflate prices

  • The war on savers continues to offer up casualties

Kevin Doran, chief investment officer at AJ Bell, comments:

“Whilst today’s numbers show a small moderation in price rises, they don’t detract from the fact that interest rates and yields on bonds continue to track significantly below the pace of inflation.  It is clear that the war on savers that began in March 2009 with ultra-low interest rates and a monetary experiment in the form of Quantitative Easing, continues to offer up casualties.  Savers who have held their money in a UK bank account since then have seen their savings grow at a paltry 4% in total, which is dwarfed by the 30% increase in inflation over the same period. 

“Inflation is eating away the value of savers’ money and this should act as a spur to anyone who has large amounts of savings held in low or zero-interest paying bank accounts to consider whether taking some investment risk could help at least preserve the spending power of their savings.

“The drop in inflation also creates some breathing space for the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee when it comes to increasing interest rates.  However, solid economic data and the risks around Sterling depreciating further, especially as we move closer to the realities of implementing Brexit, are likely to see Mark Carney and the fellow members remain poised to raise rates again in the near future. 

“Even if interest rates do start to rise, any progress is likely to be slow and there is a long way to go before savers will see returns that even break even with inflation.”

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