Brexit Secretary underlines No Deal state pension uncertainty facing 470,000 EU-based UK nationals

Tom Selby
6 December 2018
  • Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay pledges to increase state pensions of UK nationals living in the EU in the event of No Deal…but only if the EU reciprocates (assets.publishing.service.gov.uk)
  • If the EU as a bloc doesn’t reciprocate, UK will need to strike individual deals with each of the 27 member states
  • If a deal isn’t reached – either with the EU as a whole or individual member states – valuable state pension ‘triple-lock’ increases could be lost
  • Around 470,000 UK nationals living in the EU risk having their state pensions frozen

Tom Selby, senior analyst at AJ Bell, comments: 

“Today’s statement from the Brexit Secretary lays bare the uncertainty facing almost half a million UK nationals who live in the EU and are currently eligible for valuable state pension increases.

“At the moment these people receive the generous ‘triple-lock’ uprating, meaning their state pension rises in line with the highest of average earnings, inflation or 2.5%. 

“While the Government has strongly signalled its desire to continue paying these increases in the event of a No Deal Brexit, this will only happen if the EU reciprocates by uprating the state pensions of EU nationals living in the UK.

“If a deal with the EU as a whole cannot be reached then the UK will likely have to negotiate reciprocal deals with each of the 27 member states. This could be a painfully drawn out process with no guarantee of success.” 

*Figure correct as of 2015/16. Source: researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk.

Tom Selby
Director of Public Policy

Tom is director of public policy at AJ Bell. He is a prominent spokesperson on retirement issues and his views are regularly sought by national print and broadcast media. Tom has successfully campaigned for a number of consumer-focused reforms, including banning pensions cold-calling and increasing pensions allowances, and he is passionate about improving outcomes for savers and retirees. Tom joined AJ Bell as senior analyst in April 2016, having previously spent seven years as a financial journalist. He has a degree in Economics from Newcastle University.

Contact details

Mobile: 07702 858 234
Email: tom.selby@ajbell.co.uk

Follow us: