Boss’ departure tears a hole in Burberry’s share price

Russ Mould
28 June 2021

“Investors must always resist the temptation to fall for the ‘cult of the CEO’ because one person cannot do everything at a firm, no matter how driven or talented, but the share price plunge shows how disappointed by Marco Gobbetti’s decision to step down from the top job at Burberry,” says AJ Bell Investment Director, Russ Mould. “The good news is there seems to be nothing malign behind the decision, merely an understandable desire to return to his native Italy after a period when travelling to catch up with friends and family has been very difficult, if not impossible.

“The best CEOs set tone and culture and allocate capital, both human and financial. Investors clearly feel Mr Gobbetti has done well in his tenure, especially given the additional challenges posed by the pandemic and global downturn. As of last Friday’s close, the shares had gained 35% since he became CEO in July 2017, compared to a 2% drop in the FTSE 100 over the same period.

 

 

% change in

% change in

CEO

Tenure

Burberry share price

FTSE 100

Rose Maria Bravo

Jul 2002 to Dec 2005*

87%

31%

Angela Ahrendts

Jan 2006 to Apr 2014

246%

21%

Christopher Bailey

May 2014 to Jun 2017

12%

8%

Marco Gobbetti

Jul 2017 to present

35%

(2%)

Source: Refinitiv data. *Rose Maria Bravo became CEO in 1997 but Burberry only floated in July 2002. Data as of the close on Friday 25 June

“That might not match the spectacular share price gains forged under Angela Ahrendts or Rose Maria Bravo, but allowances must be made for the different economic and market backdrops, as well as Burberry’s higher valuation. The company was valued at just over £1 billion when it came to market in 2002 and £2 billion when Angela Ahrendts took over, while its price tag now is some £9 billion, so the law of large numbers will have some effect.

“The same iron law will apply to profits growth to some degree since Burberry’s profits for the year to March 2021 are forecast to be three times higher than those for its debut year on the stock market.

 
Source: Company accounts, Marketscreener, consensus analysts' forecasts. Financial year to March.

“Mr Gobbetti is due to step down at the end of 2021, after four-and-a-half years as Burberry’s CEO. That is slightly shorter than the current average FTSE 100 CEO’s tenure, which is 5.3 years, and some way ahead of the average football manager, whose current average stay across England’s 92 league clubs is just 1.7 years.

 

Average tenure

 

Days

Months

Years

FTSE 100 CEOs

1,947

64.0

5.3

FTSE 100 CFOs

1,817

151

5.0

 

 

 

 

English league managers

Premier League

804

26.4

2.2

Championship

658

21.6

1.8

League One

523

17.2

1.4

League Two

506

16.6

1.4

Average

618

20.3

1.7

Source: Company accounts, club websites, BBC

“Mr Gobbetti is currently the 52nd-longest serving leader in the FTSE 100.

“He is also the eighth boss to leave or announce their departure in 2021, after Jean-Sebastian Jacques of Rio Tinto, Shay Segev of Entain, Antonio Horta-Osorio of Lloyds, Craig Heyman of AVEVA, Andy Reynolds-Smith of Smiths Group, Ivan Glasenberg of Glencore and Lloyds’ interim leader William Chalmers.

Changes in FTSE 100 in 2021, announced or actual

Company

In

Out

 

Rio Tinto

Jakob Stausholm

Jean-Sebastian Jacques

01-Jan-21

Entain

Jette Nygaard-Andersen

Shay Segev

21-Jan-21

Lloyds

William Chalmers (interim)

Antonio Horta-Osorio

01-May-21

AVEVA

Peter Herweck

Craig Hayman

01-May-21

Smiths Group

Paul Keel

Andy Reynolds-Smith

25-May-21

Glencore

Gary Nagle

Ivan Glasenberg

01-Jul-21

Lloyds

Charlie Nunn

William Chalmers (interim)

16-Aug-21

Burberry

 

Marco Gobbetti

End-2021

Source: Company accounts

“That is well down from the 22 changes at the top witnessed in 2021 and the twenty-first century average of 13 a year. Shareholders may well be pleased to see the drop in boardroom turnover as firms continue to adapt to a post-Brexit world and one where major issues such as the pandemic, changes in working patterns and technology and the relentless rise in global indebtedness will continue present both challenges and opportunity.”

 
Source: Company accounts, Refinitiv data

Russ Mould
Investment Director

Russ Mould’s long experience of the capital markets began in 1991 when he became a Fund Manager at a leading provider of life insurance, pensions and asset management services. In 1993, he joined a prestigious investment bank, working as an Equity Analyst covering the technology sector for 12 years. Russ eventually joined Shares magazine in November 2005 as Technology Correspondent and became Editor of the magazine in July 2008. Following the acquisition of Shares' parent company, MSM Media, by AJ Bell Group, he was appointed as AJ Bell’s Investment Director in summer 2013.

Contact details

Mobile: 07710 356 331
Email: russ.mould@ajbell.co.uk

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